Intrade: Political Prediction Markets

Intrade Political Prediction Markets
Originally uploaded by davemc500hats

interesting to check out how Intrade political prediction markets are trading after recent primaries / other events.

for more info, see political prediction market moves at Intrade

right now looks like Clinton is back on top of Obama, altho both are looking like strong contenders for the Democratic nomination. McCain has inside track to take Republican nomination, tho still a dark horse to become President.

personally, i'd be quite happy with any of those 3 (especially over the current situation). i probably lean more center-left moderate (social progressive / fiscal conservative), however even tho i may disagree with McCain on some policies i think i'd have appreciation & respect for him as a leader.

would be great to see a race between McCain and either Clinton or Obama. all 3 have positives.

Comments

[daveschappell]

I concur, Mr. Ambassador. We've had similar discussions in our neck of the woods -- the thing I like about McCain is that he's seems to be the ONE candidate who has an actual track record of:
a) pursuing positions that have been unpopular with sizable portions of his base, and
b) working across-the-aisle to get things done

The other candidate who you didn't mention is Romney -- he seems like the other anomaly -- one who's accomplished large-scale efforts in the private sector. I'm sure I'll upset the Rudy fans out there with this comment, but I'd probably be most comforable with Mitt or McCain, and feel like as long as one of them, or Hillary/Barack, are elected, that we'll have a substantial improvement over our current absence of disciplined leadership.

Welcome back Stateside, Mr. McClure!